Crypto is cool. Maybe it’s the future, I don’t know. But here’s what I do know about it:
- It doesn’t generate any profits
- It doesn’t pay any dividends
- It has no revenue
Those three things stand in stark contrast to what I would consider “real” investments like index funds or investment real estate. That puts crypto squarely in the category of either “commodity” (like oil, gold, etc) or “currency” (like USD, Euro, etc)
So more generally, do I invest in commodities or currencies? I don’t. Because I want my money WORKING for me… generating profits, paying dividends, etc. I don’t buy gold for the same reason I don’t buy Euros… over long periods of time they don’t (or barely) outpace inflation.
That said, is crypto going to be the same? I have no idea because I can’t see the future. But I certainly can’t be SURE that it will go up in the future like it did in the past.
If you want to get into crypto, I’d follow my 90/10 rule. With 90% of your portfolio buy and hold index funds. With the remaining 10%, go nuts. If you want some of that to be crypto, go for it. If you’re such a smart crypto trader, then your 10% is gonna quickly outpace your 90% and you can buy one of those skywriting planes and write “ur dum” over my house.
But if crypto crashes or stays flat for the next 40 years, at least you’ll still be a millionaire from your 90%.